Tuesday, November 22, 2011

More on Major Cooldown, Storm System for this Weekend...

There is still considerable inconsistency among the computer forecast models as of this writing, but the overall trend for the last few days has pointed toward a significant shot of cold air along with the potential for widespread precipitation, some of the wintry variety, for the upcoming weekend.  This trend will initially develop across the central third of the nation, followed by the Midwest and Mississippi Valley by the end of the weekend.


It's still too early to get very specific with the details, especially with the uncertainties that still exist at this time, but with the event falling during the big post-Thanksgiving travel weekend, I wanted to get a general "heads up" message out there as soon as possible...


For example, if the following image from the GFS computer forecast model verifies (valid 6pm CST on Saturday), it will be snowing across a good part of the Midwest and possibly as far South as eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas by Sunday morning:




Some of the models want to make this a "quick shot" type system, lasting less than 18-24 hours in a given location, and others want to "cut off" the upper-level energy, suggesting it will sit and park over the lower Mississippi Valley or southeast U.S. by early next week.


Stay tuned for more details...and if you have significant travel plans for Saturday, Sunday or Monday, you'll definitely want to keep abreast of the latest developments.  Hopefully I'll be able to become more specific with the outlook as early as tomorrow...




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